Monaco vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
3º
23
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
INT
3 - 0
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 100 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 2
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
MPL
2 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
REI
1 - 1
MON
18%
21%
62%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
AUX
1 - 1
ASS
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 0
AUX
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
STR
3 - 1
AUX
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
0 - 1
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |