Monaco vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
MON
4 - 0
AEK
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
TFC
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MPL
1 - 2
MON
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
PSV
1 - 2
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 0
LIL
56%
26%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
4 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |