Monaco vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
REN
0 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
LYO
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
SED
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
BOU
1 - 3
AUX
9%
22%
69%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 1
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
SED
1 - 2
AUX
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 0
SOC
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |