Champions League Last 16
Global 3-3
Monaco vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
BAS
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 3
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 0
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
PSG
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 3
MON
73%
17%
9%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 0
WHU
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
MUD
1 - 2
ARS
52%
23%
24%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
QPR
1 - 2
ARS
12%
20%
69%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 3
MON
73%
17%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |