Qualif. Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Monaco vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
STR
1 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1993 |
MON
0 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
MPL
0 - 3
MON
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1993 |
MON
3 - 2
GIR
60%
25%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
PAN
1 - 2
AEK
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
LAR
0 - 0
AEK
27%
30%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
AEK
4 - 0
APS
77%
15%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
LEV
0 - 1
AEK
23%
29%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
AEK
0 - 1
PAN
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |