Monaco II vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
MON
61%
22%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HYE
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
TAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
ROD
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
4 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEP
58%
21%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |