Monaco II vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MON
3 - 3
SÈT
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
FCM
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
MON
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
MON
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 2
MON
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 2
PAU
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HYE
2 - 1
TAR
56%
24%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 3
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 0
TAR
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
TAR
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |