Monaco II vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MGG
2 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 0
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 1
SÈT
24%
28%
49%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
PAU
75%
16%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 3
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
PAU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 3
STA
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |