Monaco II vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HYE
0 - 2
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 5
FCM
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
LAS
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 3
MAR
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NIC
3 - 3
PAU
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
SÈT
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |