Monaco II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HYE
2 - 0
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ROD
0 - 3
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
LEP
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NIC
3 - 2
PAU
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HYE
0 - 1
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 2
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |