Monaco II vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
31%
23%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
JUR
41%
23%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AUB
4 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
MOA
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MGG
1 - 1
FCM
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MGG
3 - 0
LYO
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HYE
0 - 1
MGG
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MGG
2 - 2
CSL
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
MGG
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |