Monaco II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
MON
51%
27%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
GAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
LES
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
BEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 0
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
ASN
10%
20%
71%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 3
LEP
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |