Molodechno vs ABFF Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+247%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
22
8º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 77 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 73 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 69 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 52 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 50 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 50 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 47 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 46 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 32 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 23 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 23 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
MOL
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 0
ORS
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LID
0 - 1
MOL
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
DMI
40%
24%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 1
MOL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ABFF Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ABF
2 - 0
BAR
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MKK
3 - 0
ABF
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 64 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ABF
1 - 2
FCN
10%
16%
75%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 0
ABF
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ABF
0 - 4
TZH
11%
14%
75%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |