Europa League 1/16
Global 2-2
RWD Molenbeek vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BER
2 - 3
MOL
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
WIS
1 - 1
MOL
39%
27%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
MOL
3 - 0
KSV
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
LIE
2 - 1
MOL
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
CHA
0 - 2
MOL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
SZO
0 - 0
WIS
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
WIS
1 - 1
MOL
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
WIS
0 - 0
ODR
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
WIS
2 - 0
CEL
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
ZAG
0 - 0
WIS
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |