Molde FK vs Viking Stavanger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
43
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 50 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 48 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 33 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
28.5% | 22.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
60.5% | 62.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BBS
1 - 3
MFK
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 4
S08
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ODD
0 - 4
MFK
17%
22%
62%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 2
RBK
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 2
S08
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
VKG
3 - 0
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SDF
0 - 3
VKG
19%
22%
59%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 4
LSK
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
VKG
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
LEV
4 - 2
VKG
22%
21%
56%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |