Molde FK vs Viking Stavanger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
15º
5º
58
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KJE
0 - 1
MFK
12%
19%
70%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
MFK
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 0
MFK
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MFK
4 - 1
ODD
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAU
1 - 2
MFK
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VKG
4 - 3
SDF
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAU
0 - 2
VKG
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VKG
1 - 1
VIF
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VKG
1 - 0
STB
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LSK
1 - 3
VKG
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |