Europa League 1/64
Global 3-2
Molde FK vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MFK
0 - 2
RBK
29%
24%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BBS
3 - 2
MFK
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 0
MFK
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MFK
1 - 0
VIF
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
MFK
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GFC
2 - 0
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UDL
2 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 0
MFK
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 2
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 3
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |