Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
3º
26
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 55 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 53 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 46 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 28 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
31% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
58% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
ODD
0 - 4
MFK
17%
22%
62%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 2
RBK
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 2
S08
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 1
MFK
13%
20%
67%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 3
MFK
10%
17%
74%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
S08
1 - 7
HAM
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SDF
4 - 1
S08
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 2
S08
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
S08
1 - 0
LSK
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIL
0 - 1
S08
2%
6%
92%
|
74 | 17 | 57 | 0 |