Molde FK vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
40
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 50 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 48 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 33 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 29 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
28.5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
60.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 2
S08
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SDF
3 - 1
MFK
13%
20%
67%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 3
MFK
10%
17%
74%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 1
HAU
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
MFK
10%
17%
73%
|
84 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 0
RBK
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 3
BOG
27%
23%
50%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 3
RBK
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 3
RBK
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |