Molde FK vs Kristiansund BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
5º
3º
26
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 56 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 54 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 40 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 36 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
54.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 83% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
EID
0 - 5
MFK
3%
10%
87%
|
84 | 8 | 76 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
MFK
13%
20%
67%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 0
STR
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BOG
3 - 5
MFK
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MFK
1 - 0
BBS
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kristiansund BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
KRI
17%
20%
64%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KRI
1 - 1
KFU
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 3
KRI
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KRI
1 - 1
ELP
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
KRI
1 - 1
LEV
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |