Molde FK vs KFUM Oslo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
2º
29
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
33.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
56% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
MFK
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
LSK
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
MFK
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 0
ODD
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 2
VKG
55%
21%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KFUM Oslo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
KFU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 2
VKG
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 1
KFU
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
KFU
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KFU
3 - 3
SDF
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |