Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-3
Molde FK vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
MFK
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MFK
5 - 1
VIF
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
BBS
0 - 4
MFK
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
MFK
3 - 0
STB
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
MFF
2 - 0
MFK
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
MFK
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 2
GLE
9%
14%
77%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
GLE
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
GLE
10%
15%
76%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |