Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Molde FK vs Cercle Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SIF
3 - 2
MFK
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 0
MFK
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 1
SIF
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 3
KFU
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
MFK
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
KVK
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KVC
3 - 0
CER
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 0
CER
59%
21%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |