Moldova U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 1
MDA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
LUX
1 - 2
MDA
42%
25%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
MDA
0 - 5
GER
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 0
MDA
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
MDA
0 - 1
LVA
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
POL
2 - 0
FIN
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
POL
1 - 0
SVK
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
NED
2 - 0
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ISR
1 - 1
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |