Moldova U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
MDA
0 - 0
ISL
26%
23%
52%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 2
CYP
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
MDA
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
MDA
89%
9%
3%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 3
MDA
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 3
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
LTU
78%
14%
7%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
UKR
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |