Moldavia U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
KAZ
5 - 4
MDA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
MDA
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
MDA
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MDA
2 - 1
KGZ
72%
19%
10%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 0
LVA
44%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BGR
1 - 0
POL
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
MDA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
POL
4 - 3
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
RUS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |