Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
16º
10º
30
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 3
COL
9%
16%
76%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AAA
3 - 1
MOL
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 2
HOL
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 4
CEF
38%
21%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
PRE
36%
20%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 5
AAA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 1
POR
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
BUC
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 0
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
RTW
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |