Mold Alexandra vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
16º
10º
23
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
MOL
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 3
LLA
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
2 - 0
MOL
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 1
HOL
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 2
MOL
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
POR
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 5
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 4
CON
7%
12%
81%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |