Moimenta da Beira vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 3
MOI
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 1
GON
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
MOI
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOI
0 - 1
ANA
20%
21%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
RDA
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 3
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |