Moimenta da Beira vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 0
MOI
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PED
2 - 1
MOI
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 4
SOU
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CIN
3 - 0
MOI
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MOI
2 - 7
SOB
34%
23%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 1
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
SOB
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
FAT
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 1
LUS
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |