Mohun Bagan SG vs Mohammedan SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
6º
1º
1
7º
11º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
4 | 22 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 21 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 21 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 21 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 21 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 20 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 18 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 18 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 18 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 11 |
13º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 2
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MBS
2 - 2
MUM
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
MBS
1 - 2
KAL
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 16 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MBS
8 - 1
SEC
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MBS
0 - 0
CCF
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammedan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 1
MOH
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MOH
1 - 1
GOA
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MOH
2 - 2
EAS
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
MOH
0 - 1
NOR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOH
1 - 2
CCF
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |