Mohun Bagan SG vs Kerala Blasters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
8º
1º
24
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 44 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
MBS
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MBS
1 - 0
CHE
59%
21%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 0
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
MBS
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
HYD
0 - 2
MBS
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kerala Blasters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
4 - 2
KER
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
KER
0 - 1
GOA
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KER
3 - 0
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
KER
1 - 2
HYD
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MUM
4 - 2
KER
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |