Mohun Bagan SG vs East Bengal Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
8º
1º
18
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
MBS
3 - 0
HYD
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 3
MBS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GOA
2 - 1
MBS
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MBS
3 - 2
KER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
MBS
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
East Bengal Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
EAS
2 - 3
MUM
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
HYD
1 - 1
EAS
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
JAM
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 2
MIN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
DEL
32%
25%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |