Mohammedan Dhaka vs Chittagong Abahani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
4º
21
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Challenge League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohammedan Dhaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
BPF
0 - 0
MDH
37%
23%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
MDH
1 - 0
RAH
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MDH
2 - 0
MUK
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
MDH
7 - 0
RAH
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BPF
1 - 1
MDH
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chittagong Abahani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
MUK
61%
23%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 4
SHR
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 2
BPF
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 1
ACH
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
UBS
2 - 2
ACH
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |