Moguer CD vs Ol. Valverdeña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 1
MOG
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 4
MOG
41%
23%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOG
2 - 0
PUM
45%
24%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 3
MOG
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 1
ICR
53%
22%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ol. Valverdeña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
5 - 2
BEA
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PUM
2 - 1
OVA
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
1 - 2
RIO
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ICR
3 - 0
OVA
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OVA
3 - 2
TRI
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |