Liga Montenegro - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 9-2
Mogren vs Zabjelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ZAB
1 - 6
MOG
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MLA
3 - 1
MOG
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LOV
2 - 1
MOG
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 4
ZET
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PET
2 - 2
MOG
43%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zabjelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ZAB
1 - 6
MOG
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ZAB
1 - 0
FKZ
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BER
4 - 3
ZAB
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ZAB
1 - 0
IKD
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
DEC
3 - 0
ZAB
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |