Mogren vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PET
2 - 0
MOG
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
BOK
0 - 0
MOG
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 2
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOG
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 0
MOG
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 0
MLA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FKC
0 - 0
SUT
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
SUT
0 - 0
LOV
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ZET
0 - 2
SUT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
JEZ
2 - 1
SUT
17%
25%
58%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |