Mogren vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
BOK
0 - 5
MOG
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 3
BUD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RUD
4 - 1
MOG
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 3
ZET
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
SUT
4 - 2
ZET
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
SUT
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 0
MLA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GRB
0 - 4
SUT
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |