Mogren vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 2
MOG
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 3
BOK
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZET
5 - 0
MOG
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
MOG
32%
24%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 0
RUD
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
BUD
0 - 1
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PET
1 - 3
RUD
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MLA
0 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PET
0 - 0
BUD
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PET
0 - 0
BUD
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |