Mogren vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 0
MOG
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 1
DEC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
MLA
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FKC
4 - 2
MOG
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
GRB
2 - 3
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
MLA
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FKC
0 - 0
PET
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
LOV
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ZET
3 - 2
PET
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DEC
1 - 0
PET
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |