Mogren vs Titograd Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRB
1 - 0
MOG
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 0
DEC
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 3
MOG
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 0
BER
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ZET
0 - 0
MOG
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Titograd Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MLA
0 - 0
ZET
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
MLA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MLA
1 - 3
LOV
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MLA
0 - 1
BUD
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GRB
1 - 2
MLA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |