Mogren vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ZET
5 - 2
MOG
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 1
RUD
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 3
GRB
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOG
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 1
GRB
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 0
MLA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FKC
0 - 1
LOV
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 0
ZET
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 1
DEC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LOV
4 - 1
ZET
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |