Mogren vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 0
MOG
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BER
2 - 4
MOG
24%
27%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 4
RUD
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 2
ZET
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 3
RUD
23%
28%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 0
SUT
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BOK
1 - 1
LOV
59%
25%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DEC
3 - 0
LOV
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FKC
1 - 0
LOV
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |