Mogren vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
PET
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 1
MOG
25%
27%
49%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
3 - 1
MOG
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 4
MOG
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 0
BUD
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RUD
4 - 3
GRB
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GRB
1 - 1
ZET
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 1
GRB
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GRB
2 - 2
DEC
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |