Mogren vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MOG
4 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RUD
2 - 0
MOG
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MOG
4 - 0
BER
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOG
28%
28%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MOG
4 - 0
SUT
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ZET
1 - 0
GRB
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BOK
0 - 4
GRB
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GRB
4 - 0
LOV
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GRB
0 - 4
BUD
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 3
GRB
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |