Liga Montenegro - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 1-7
Mogren vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
MLA
0 - 3
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
BUD
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SUT
4 - 0
MOG
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 2
LOV
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GRB
2 - 1
MOG
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 0
FKA
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
IKD
1 - 0
DEC
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
DEC
2 - 1
IGA
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
KOM
1 - 2
DEC
22%
26%
53%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |