Mogren vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
MLA
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FKC
4 - 2
MOG
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
GRB
2 - 3
MOG
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 3
LOV
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ZET
5 - 2
MOG
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
DEC
0 - 2
BUD
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MLA
3 - 0
DEC
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
DEC
1 - 0
PET
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEC
3 - 0
GRB
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
FKC
1 - 1
DEC
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |