Mogren vs Bar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
3 - 1
MOG
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 4
MOG
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
0 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
MOG
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 0
MLA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUD
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
GRB
42%
27%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |