Mogren vs Bar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MOG
4 - 1
SUT
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
BOK
0 - 3
MOG
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LOV
0 - 1
MOG
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MOG
3 - 1
PET
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
MLA
2 - 2
MOG
39%
25%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZET
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GRB
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
BUD
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RUD
0 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |