Mogi Mirim vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
MOG
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 2
DUQ
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
6 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
GRÊ
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
RIO
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 2
VIL
36%
24%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |